One of the most important things any business can do to ensure growth is to outline a precise forecast of their potential revenue. This can be very difficult as there are a lot of variables that go into formulating a well-crafted forecast, and the wrong predictions can cost a company thousands or even millions in potential earnings. Here are some of the most important things businesses should look at when attempting to predict profits and losses.

Relevant Historical Trends

When you’re beginning to craft your prediction, look back at the past for a hint of what’s going to happen in the future. However, simply looking at what happened is not enough to make a proper prediction. The most important thing to keep in mind is the relevancy of the data you choose to look at. Often, business owners make the mistake of not separating what is relevant and what is simply a distraction. Relevant data is something that can provide you with concrete information that relates to your business.

Current Trends and Events

When looking at the past to form a prediction of your potential earnings, it is vital to also keep in mind the current trends and events. Historical data is beneficial for looking backward, but adding current events and trends to it improves loss predictions going forward. Your circumstances might have changed over the past year. International business affairs that you might have gotten into are now changing the way you do business or the products that you offer. Therefore, much of the information acquired last year might not be of use to your company today.

Including Production Variables

Payroll, amount of inventory, and warehouse space are all too familiar to business leaders. They understand that their profit margin begins at the assembly line. When attempting to predict your future earnings or losses, it is crucial to include any new variables to the production line. This could consist of additional employees, additional inventory, or space. The best method for getting it right the first time is to take into account your current situation and add additional variables, such as staff loss or add-ons, that may occur during the year. 

The aim of any business leader is to attempt to attain the biggest profit possible for their company. Many understand that they may not reach profit and might actually lose money over a quarter, but they also understand that the damage can be minimized by looking at the three things listed above.

Read more on this topic from ARC Business Solutions: Smart Tips for Managing Your Business Finances